Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000582 0.000664 0.000750 0.000849 0.000957 0.001073 0.001205
2025-10-26 0.000449 0.000560 0.000686 0.000839 0.001018 0.001220 0.001465
2025-11-02 0.000383 0.000509 0.000658 0.000846 0.001076 0.001344 0.001678
2025-11-09 0.000331 0.000465 0.000630 0.000847 0.001120 0.001448 0.001870
2025-11-16 0.000279 0.000413 0.000585 0.000819 0.001123 0.001498 0.001991
2025-11-23 0.000239 0.000371 0.000549 0.000798 0.001129 0.001549 0.002113
2025-11-30 0.000211 0.000345 0.000529 0.000794 0.001156 0.001625 0.002265
2025-12-07 0.000189 0.000322 0.000513 0.000793 0.001186 0.001703 0.002422
2025-12-14 0.000168 0.000299 0.000492 0.000784 0.001201 0.001762 0.002553
2025-12-21 0.000148 0.000276 0.000470 0.000771 0.001210 0.001810 0.002671
2025-12-28 0.000139 0.000269 0.000472 0.000792 0.001268 0.001927 0.002883
2026-01-04 0.000130 0.000260 0.000468 0.000805 0.001313 0.002026 0.003073
2026-01-11 0.000116 0.000243 0.000452 0.000798 0.001329 0.002086 0.003210
2026-01-18 0.000104 0.000227 0.000435 0.000787 0.001339 0.002136 0.003337
2026-01-25 0.000096 0.000218 0.000429 0.000794 0.001375 0.002225 0.003519
2026-02-01 0.000087 0.000207 0.000420 0.000795 0.001401 0.002299 0.003681
2026-02-08 0.000076 0.000188 0.000395 0.000768 0.001383 0.002308 0.003747
2026-02-15 0.000066 0.000173 0.000375 0.000748 0.001373 0.002327 0.003829
2026-02-22 0.000060 0.000163 0.000365 0.000744 0.001390 0.002387 0.003971
2026-03-01 0.000055 0.000156 0.000357 0.000744 0.001411 0.002453 0.004124
2026-03-08 0.000049 0.000146 0.000345 0.000735 0.001418 0.002498 0.004245
2026-03-15 0.000044 0.000136 0.000332 0.000722 0.001418 0.002531 0.004348
2026-03-22 0.000042 0.000135 0.000336 0.000743 0.001475 0.002654 0.004592